Solana
$SOL
128 Results
BREAKING AWAY While we maintain that macro conditions are still the most critical factor in assessing the medium/long-term trajectory of BTC prices, daily returns of the leading cryptoasset continue to exhibit a lack of defined correlation with any major macro asset. To us, the biggest reason for this sustained lack of correlation is the advent of the spot BTC ETF. A prime example of how ETFs are influencing BTC's performance...
WEATHERING THE STORM Heading into Q1, the key risks identified were: (1) A potential QRA supply shock, as long-term interest rates could surge due to a possible shift in bond issuance towards longer-duration securities, (2) the repricing of interest rate cuts, as the Federal Reserve downplayed expectations regarding the timing and frequency of such cuts, and (3) concerns regarding the dynamics between the expiration of the Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP)...
QRA IN LINE WITH MARKET EXPECTATIONS _THE RESULTS_ The Treasury’s quarterly refunding announcement (QRA) was the first of two major macro events to transpire on Wednesday. Leading up to this, on Monday, there was an indication that the net borrowing for the current quarter would be $760 billion, which is $55 billion lower than the initial $815 billion estimate, and the total funding needs for Q2 would be just over...
GBTC Outflows Continue to Subside, Jupiter Volumes Skyrocket Ahead of Big Airdrop
This week is shaping up to be a significant one on the macro front, with the JOLTS report on Tuesday, the FOMC meeting and Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) on Wednesday, PMIs on Thursday, and jobs data on Friday. Despite a downward trend in rates today, possibly hinting at the Fed's tone this week, DXY is climbing, largely due to a weakening Euro. In the equities market, major indices are...
THE GBTC PROBLEM We have been watching spot BTC ETF flows closely since their launch two weeks ago, and while overall net flows remain decidedly positive, the market seems hung up on GBTC outflows. As a reminder, the outflows we care the most about are those from entities that are not rotating into other spot BTC ETFs. This is comprised of some speculative capital that played the run-up into ETF...
Equities are advancing again after reaching new all-time highs last week, buoyed by a pullback in interest rates. Despite this positive trend in equities, gold prices have dipped, and the broader crypto market, including BTC -1.63% , continues to face downward pressure. BTC is steadfastly maintaining the $40,000 level as its support, while ETH -0.18% has retraced its recent rally to $2,700, now trading at $2,350. This retreat is mirrored in the broader...
OUTLOOK OVERVIEW Thank you to everyone who joined our annual outlook call this week. We were fortunate to have a lot of success last year in helping our clients and subscribers navigate the crypto market and we look forward to leveling up again this year. For those who missed the outlook, the replay is now available, along with the deck, but a quick summary of our outlook is below.Big Takeaway:...
INITIAL THOUGHTS ON ETF LAUNCHES The past week has marked a pivotal moment in the evolution of the crypto industry, a testament to the remarkable journey of an asset class that emerged from a distrubuted community of open source software developers just 15 years ago. This was evidenced by the successful launch of all 11 eligible Bitcoin ETFs on Thursday morning. Assessing the success of an ETF launch is a...
Bitcoin continues to slowly chop higher ahead of this week's highly anticipated decision from the SEC regarding the Bitcoin spot ETF. On Friday, issuers submitted their final 19b-4 forms, and this morning, all the S-1 forms were filed, offering a glimpse into the emerging fee war. Bitcoin is currently trading just above $46k. Meanwhile, ETH -0.18% is up 4%, reclaiming the $2300 level. Following a mild pullback across the altcoin market,...
QUICK RECAP First and foremost, we would like to extend a Happy New Year to all our clients and subscribers. The past year was indeed eventful, marked by banking crises, significant court victories, and BlackRock's foray into the sector – truly a remarkable journey. Our Core Strategy, though it lagged behind the King, performed well. This was particularly supported by the strong performance of our altcoin basket in Q4. We...
BTC -1.63% is trading near $44k, recovering some of its losses after yesterdayâs leverage flush sent prices down 9% from $45k to a low of $40.8k. ETH -0.18% is performing in line with BTC -1.63% , rising 2.3% to ~$2.3k. U.S equities are relatively flat from yesterday, with the S&P gaining 0.1% while the Nasdaq was down 0.12%. Layer-1 tokens SOL -5.71% and AVAX -5.27% show the most strength among the top 10, gaining 3.9% and...
ETH L2 Tokens Surge on Dencun Clarity, ETHBTC Showing Signs of Technical Progress
Risk assets received another shot in the arm today, with core PCE data registering at just 0.06%, well below the 0.20% consensus estimate. This has led to a continuation of the downward trend in the DXY. Both the SPX and QQQ are up on the day, and gold is edging closer to new YTD highs. In crypto markets, there's been a significant rotation into ETH L2s this morning, especially OP -1.46% ...
