Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: On eve of Jan CPI, bonds have been discounting a "hot" CPI print, and stocks to an extent. Margin debt still far lower than Nov 2021 peak
VIDEO: We do not have a good sense whether the Jan Core CPI will be better or worse than consensus +0.30%, but we also think the bond market has been bracing for a hot number. We think stocks can still drift higher near term because of dry powder and also...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: Equity markets near-term supported by "angry bears" but Jan CPI is important. Multiple factors still support upside though. 49ers win better for markets, FYI.
VIDEO: With S&P 500 at 5,000, we highlight the key drivers around markets and most remain supportive, except for the unknown leanings of the Fed in coming weeks Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:48). https://vimeo. com/912102451/b3338d44f9? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46 SMID GRANNY...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: 4Q23 EPS: 4 reasons EPS results are better than appears on surface, including potential China bottom.
VIDEO: We discuss 4 factors that suggest 4Q23 EPS season stronger than many realize. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 3:56). https://vimeo. com/910601604/8c4b44e130? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 1/17. Full stock list here -> Click here...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: Equity markets up 13 of last 14 weeks, a sign of strength, but 7 precedent instances show a near-term peak could happen in next few weeks
VIDEO: Since 1927, we found 7 precedent instances of a rally seeing gains in 13 of 14 weeks. This is a sign of market strength but also points to a peak within next 2-3 weeks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 03:36). https://vimeo. com/910248764/2ae66cd64a? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: This week's gauntlet shows equity markets are getting stronger. Earnings visibility strengthening as 43% cos post >10% EPS growth.
VIDEO: We discuss how this week shows the equity markets are getting stronger, handling bad news with resilience and earnings visibility improving. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:27). https://vimeo. com/908883264/561a0ec9b5? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: Today is unlikely the 1Q24 market top. Feels more like profit-taking as prices retrace gains of last 4 days. Proper today is "sell off on good news" not a bad CPI report.
VIDEO: Today's 2% selloff is an over-reaction to the hot CPI print. We also think it is a touch early to call for a top in equity markets for 1Q24. Please click below to view our macro minute (duration: 6:13). https://vimeo. com/912718090/90dc84e5d5? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: This week will determine how high "Jan new highs" go.
VIDEO: This is one of the largest event driven catalysts weeks of the year: (i) Treasury QRA; (ii) key macro including ISM and jobs; and (iii) heaviest week of earnings. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (Duration: 03:53). https://vimeo. com/907654126/5b1964f826? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46 SMID GRANNY...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: Equities holding up despite -11% Tesla decline (8th largest stock) = sign of resilience. Dec Core PCE out on Friday. Tireless Ken sees downside print.
VIDEO: Dec Core PCE comes out Friday am. Tireless ken expects a Dec core PCE below consensus of +0.20. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (Duration: 4:39). https://vimeo. com/906504477/4e59800273? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 46 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 1/17. Full stock list...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: S&P US Flash PMIs move >50, supporting recovery thesis in capex = improving EPS growth in 2023
VIDEO: The Jan preliminary PMIs moved solidly above 50. (To be clear, this is not the ISM manufacturing, which is out early February.) This reading is supportive of accelerating EPS growth in 2024. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (Duration: 3:27). https://vimeo. com/906207267/4f8099bee2? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND...
- Macro Minute Video
VIDEO: Macro Minute: 5 reasons we see market breadth improving in 2024 = favors small-caps and stock picking. SMID Granny Shots as well.
VIDEO: In the 11 prior instances of S&P 500 making all-time highs, further gains happened 6M later 10 of 11 times, but the durability of gains depends on recession (n=3). Also, we highlight the 5 factors for why market breadth should expand in 2024. Please click below to view our Macro...
